|
Sample Letter
THURSDAY, 16 APRIL 2009
END-DAY SUMMARY
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Copyright 2009. Disclaimer at website applies. Charts are courtesy
of TC2000.
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brookinsbuys
est 1991
http://brookinsbuys.com/
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MARKET WEEK:
April 17 - 24, 2009
(When both 9-day and 200-day moving averages (trends) are UP, it is safe to buy
new stocks and hold. When both are DOWN, your portfolio should be mostly in
cash. When one is UP and one is DOWN, then you should minimize your capital
exposure, reduce positions, and be very selective when buying new stocks).
DJIA (8125):
9-day trend: up;
200-day trend:
down
NASD (1670):
9-day trend: up;
200-day trend:
down
SP500 (865):
9-day trend: up;
200-day trend:
down
US Dollar Index (DXYO :
84.98):
9-day trend:
down;
200-day trend:
up
Gold (GLD : 85.81):
9-day trend:
down;
200-day trend:
up
Oil: (OIH : 87.58):
9-day trend:
up;
200-day trend:
down
Good evening everyone.
The markets are inching their way higher now through some serious
price resistance. Short-term, the markets are very over bought and need a
significant pullback before proceeding to our upside targets. But they may not
rest. Little stocks (< $2) are flying all over the place.
For now, we’ll stay mostly long and keep stop prices tight. I still
expect new market lows between Fall 2009 and Summer 2010. We’ll see…..
Interesting
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/5160120/A-Copper-Standard-for-the-worlds-currency-system.html
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TRADES IN PROGRESS
key: stock name (symbol : entry price): current price; notes
Stocks that I am actively trading. A stock that has been trading in a range (ex:
between $5 and $6) for a period of time, that is called "Basing-Breakwatch;"
when it finally breaks above $6, that is a major buy point and the stock is "Breaking
Out" of its range.
I buy from this section
occasionally, but usually use a "limit buy" order.
Trending Higher
- the stock is in the middle of a trend; more risky to buy in this chart
pattern. “Extended Short-Term” – the stock has run a bit and may rest ant
day; best to buy these during weakness; "Basing- Breakwatch" - stocks
that are in the base; they will be buys if they break above their price
resistance (high end of trading range). I try to buy from this section usually
with a "buy stop" order. “Pullback to Support” - stocks that have moved,
or are moving back price support. “Weak Stocks” - have broken price
support or are acting weak; consider “Selling,” or Taking Profit”
or “Taking Loss”.
BREAKOUTS
None
TRENDING HIGHER
CROCS INC (CROX : 1.63): 2.06;
sell stop 1.60
METCHEL STEEL (MTL : 6.40): 6.61
SIRIUS XM RADIO (SIRI : 0.31): .41;
speculation only; sell stop .33
EXTENDED SHORT-TERM
None
BASING – BREAKWATCH
AGFEED INDUSTRIES (FEED : 2.14): 3.41;
took profit at 15% gain; sell stop 3.19
NORTHERN OIL & GAS (NOG : 4.06): 4.74;
sell stop 4.40; took profit at 12% gain
RESTING
None
PULLBACK TO PRICE SUPPORT
None
WEAK
None
SELL OR TAKE PROFIT
POWERSHARES INDIA ETF (PIN : 13.73): 13.79;
stopped out
SUNTECH POWER HOLDINGS (STP : 13.50): 14.40;
stopped out; took profit at 11.8% gain
US NATURAL GAS (UNG : 14.60): 14.61;
stopped out
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NEW TRADES
Primary goal is to make a 4% gain
within 10 trading days; then to sell majority of position and let the rest ride
in the Active Trader section until the trend is broken.
CHANGYOU.COM (CYOU: 27.31):
not for the faint at heart; buying if it hits 28.61
EVERGREEN SOLR (ESLR: 2.29):
buying if it hits 2.41
NABORS INDS (NBR: 14.57):
buying below 14.30
POWERSHARES DB CRUDE OIL LONG (DXO: 2.96):
buying if it hits 3.26
SCHERING-PLOUGH (SGP : 23.30):
buying if it hits 24.05
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$100,000 MODEL PORTFOLIO
01/01/09 SP500:
903
04/16/09 SP500:
865
Percent Gain/Loss:
(4.21%)
01/01/09 Model Balance:
$100,000.00
04/16/09 Model Balance:
100,957.76
Percent Gain/Loss:
0.96 %
CURRENT MODEL POSITIONS
Key: Entry Date: Direction, # of Shares, Symbol (Entry Price):
Current Price; notes; Status or Action)
Long 2500 shares SIRI at .29:
currently at .41; sell stop .37
Long 100 shares of STP at 13.50;
currently at 14.67; sell stop 14.13
Long 100
shares of UNG at 14.44
Short 50 shares JNJ at 53; currently
at 52.20
Short 50 shares MCD at 56.36;
currently at 54.70
MODEL CHANGES
Stopped out of CKSW at 4.24
I am not buying any of the following if
they “gap up” at the open
Buying 300 shares of SGP if it hits buy price
24.05
Buying 3000 shares of DXO if it hits 3.26
Buying 150 shares of CYOU if it hits 28.61
Buying 1500 shares of ESLR if it hits 2.41
Buying 150 shares of NBR below 14.29
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$100,000 INDEX FUND MODEL PORTFOLIO
Start Date: February 18, 2009
SPY: $79.03
BB Index Fund: $100,000
Last Update: April 16, 2009
SPY: $86.50
+9.45%
BB Index Fund: $105,368.50 +
5.37%
CURRENT MODEL POSITIONS
Long 300 shares of SPY at 83.86;
currently 86.50; use sell stop 83.58
Long 300 shares of DIA at 79.05;
currently 81.26; use sell stop 78.71
MODEL CHANGES
None
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WATCHlist
|
SYMBOL |
INDUSTRY |
INTRODUCTION PRICE HERE |
CURRENT PRICE |
%Gain or Loss |
AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME |
LAST QTR EPS % INCREASE |
LAST QTR SALES % INCREASE |
FORWARD EPS ESTIMATES |
STOCK VALUE ($) |
POTENTIAL PERCENT GAIN BASED ON VALUE |
NEXT EPS REPORT |
BROOKINS' SHORT-TERM CHART RANK |
COMMENTS |
|
LNET |
CABLE |
1.65 |
1.69 |
2.42 |
122,000 |
|
-9 |
|
|
|
04/29/09 |
A |
|
|
CAEI |
CHINA BUILDING/CONSTR |
1.30 |
1.71 |
31.54 |
120,000 |
200 |
107 |
|
|
|
03/27/09 |
A |
CHINA |
|
GU |
ENERGY-ALTERNATE |
2.28 |
2.54 |
11.40 |
602,000 |
|
24 |
0.61 |
10.00 |
338.60 |
05/13/09 |
A |
CHINA BIODIESEL |
|
ESLR |
ENERGY-SOLAR |
2.09 |
2.29 |
9.57 |
4,505,000 |
|
99 |
0.29 |
5.50 |
163.16 |
04/17/09 |
A |
|
|
CSIQ |
ENERGY-SOLAR |
6.47 |
6.84 |
5.72 |
848,000 |
|
-43 |
0.57 |
12.00 |
85.47 |
05/13/09 |
A |
|
|
JASO |
ENERGY-SOLAR |
3.07 |
3.60 |
17.26 |
4,700,000 |
|
0 |
0.50 |
10.00 |
225.73 |
05/12/09 |
A |
|
|
CSUN |
ENERGY-SOLAR |
2.98 |
3.12 |
4.70 |
550,000 |
|
-40 |
0.38 |
8.00 |
168.46 |
05/20/09 |
A |
CHINA |
|
CYOU |
INTERNET |
23.26 |
27.31 |
17.41 |
2,327,000 |
200 |
144 |
3.05 |
60.00 |
157.95 |
04/28/09 |
A |
CHINA GAMING |
|
ASIA |
INTERNET |
16.54 |
18.26 |
10.40 |
490,000 |
22 |
32 |
0.94 |
25.00 |
51.15 |
04/23/09 |
A |
CHINA |
|
ETQ |
METAL ORES |
5.14 |
5.66 |
10.12 |
110,000 |
999 |
|
|
|
|
05/15/09 |
A |
|
|
GRO |
AGRICULTURE |
1.17 |
1.75 |
49.57 |
225,000 |
-40 |
31 |
0.32 |
4.00 |
241.88 |
06/26/09 |
A |
CHINA; SEEDS |
|
TTM |
AUTO |
6.64 |
7.59 |
14.31 |
892,000 |
-30 |
17 |
0.20 |
|
|
|
A |
INDIA CAR MAKER |
|
NRGN |
BIOTECH |
0.23 |
0.21 |
-8.70 |
212,000 |
|
|
-0.59 |
|
|
05/08/09 |
A |
CHART |
|
MRNA |
BIOTECH |
0.76 |
0.87 |
14.47 |
258,000 |
|
-97 |
|
|
|
05/08/09 |
A |
BREAKOUT |
|
SDTH |
CHEMICALS |
3.25 |
3.90 |
20.00 |
165,000 |
-27 |
11 |
0.40 |
8.00 |
146.15 |
05/06/09 |
A |
CHINA |
|
EBAY |
E-COMMERCE |
13.95 |
14.41 |
3.30 |
15,500,000 |
-9 |
-7 |
1.53 |
30.00 |
115.05 |
04/16/09 |
A |
|
|
NCOC |
ENERGY-COAL |
1.20 |
1.30 |
8.33 |
153,000 |
|
-6 |
1.19 |
10.00 |
733.33 |
05/15/09 |
A |
|
|
SOLF |
ENERGY-SOLAR |
4.19 |
4.71 |
12.41 |
710,000 |
|
22 |
0.28 |
6.00 |
43.20 |
05/21/09 |
A |
CHINA |
|
GCH |
GREATER CHINA FUND |
9.48 |
9.52 |
0.42 |
110,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
A |
|
|
SNDA |
INTERNET |
45.07 |
53.75 |
19.26 |
937,000 |
32 |
52 |
3.25 |
90.00 |
99.69 |
05/27/09 |
A |
CHINA |
|
COMS |
NETWORKING |
3.58 |
3.73 |
4.19 |
3,450,000 |
63 |
-3 |
0.33 |
9.00 |
151.40 |
06/24/09 |
A |
|
|
DXO |
OIL ETF |
3.01 |
2.96 |
-1.66 |
32,488,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
A |
|
|
ENT |
OIL-GAS |
0.82 |
1.03 |
25.61 |
129,000 |
114 |
92 |
0.22 |
2.00 |
143.90 |
05/14/09 |
A |
BREAKOUT |
|
ARST |
SOFTWARE |
13.32 |
14.85 |
11.49 |
400,000 |
75 |
32 |
0.51 |
15.00 |
12.61 |
06/19/09 |
A |
|
|
GSI |
STEEL |
4.51 |
4.51 |
0.00 |
192,000 |
|
-3 |
0.71 |
|
|
05/15/09 |
A |
|
|
GRMN |
TELCOMM |
21.27 |
22.12 |
4.00 |
2,245,000 |
-29 |
-14 |
2.40 |
30.00 |
41.04 |
04/30/09 |
A |
|
|
PALM |
TELECOMM-WIRELESS |
9.13 |
9.90 |
8.43 |
7,500,000 |
|
-71 |
-0.74 |
|
|
06/26/09 |
A |
BUYOUT CANDIDATE |
|
KONG |
TELECOMM-WIRELESS |
5.19 |
6.64 |
27.94 |
57,000 |
-25 |
35 |
0.17 |
|
|
05/16/09 |
A |
CHINA |
|
FRPT |
TRUCKS |
5.81 |
7.68 |
32.19 |
800,000 |
42 |
-46 |
0.47 |
8.00 |
37.69 |
05/15/09 |
A |
BREAKOUT |
|
FMCN |
ADVERTISING |
6.51 |
6.99 |
7.37 |
3,170,000 |
-88 |
-48 |
0.83 |
10.00 |
53.61 |
06/05/09 |
B |
CHINA |
|
FEED |
AGRICULTURE |
2.27 |
3.41 |
50.22 |
1,170,000 |
56 |
275 |
0.55 |
5.00 |
120.26 |
05/15/09 |
B |
PIG FEED; CHINA |
|
BAC |
BANKS |
7.49 |
10.34 |
38.05 |
444,515,000 |
|
-11 |
1.35 |
10.00 |
33.51 |
04/21/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
C |
BANKS |
2.70 |
4.01 |
48.52 |
488,803,000 |
|
-38 |
-0.09 |
|
|
04/18/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
ONTY |
BIOTECH |
2.72 |
2.92 |
7.35 |
43,000 |
508 |
999 |
-0.53 |
|
|
05/07/09 |
B |
CHART |
|
CERS |
BIOTECH |
0.92 |
|
|
100,000 |
|
51 |
|
|
|
05/01/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
NBY |
BIOTECH |
3.05 |
2.65 |
-13.11 |
26,000 |
|
45 |
-0.37 |
|
|
05/14/09 |
B |
CHART |
|
SIGA |
BIOTECH WARFARE |
5.58 |
6.20 |
11.11 |
190,000 |
|
41 |
|
|
|
05/09/09 |
B |
|
|
WATG |
CHINA AUTO |
3.65 |
5.83 |
59.73 |
91,000 |
-12 |
15 |
0.91 |
9.00 |
146.58 |
05/14/09 |
B |
MAKES ELECTRICAL PARTS |
|
FXI |
CHINA ETF |
30.51 |
32.94 |
7.96 |
38,300,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
B |
25 STOCKS |
|
AAPL |
COMPUTER |
115.16 |
121.45 |
5.46 |
25,300,000 |
1 |
6 |
5.90 |
180.00 |
56.30 |
04/23/09 |
B |
|
|
PTI |
COMPUTER SERVICES |
6.10 |
6.75 |
10.66 |
47,000 |
-49 |
2 |
0.99 |
10.00 |
63.93 |
04/30/09 |
B |
INDIA |
|
WIRE |
COPPER CABLE |
22.84 |
23.75 |
3.98 |
223,000 |
999 |
-36 |
1.30 |
|
|
04/23/09 |
B |
|
|
QTM |
DATA STORAGE |
0.69 |
1.02 |
47.83 |
1,505,000 |
71 |
-19 |
0.26 |
4.00 |
479.71 |
05/15/09 |
B |
BREAKOUT |
|
SGP |
DRUGS |
23.34 |
23.30 |
-0.17 |
23,900,000 |
44 |
17 |
1.92 |
40.00 |
71.38 |
04/23/09 |
B |
|
|
YGE |
ENERGY-ALTERNATE |
6.31 |
7.10 |
12.52 |
3,950,000 |
-12 |
30 |
0.97 |
18.00 |
185.26 |
05/15/09 |
B |
CHINA |
|
STP |
ENERGY-SOLAR |
13.43 |
14.67 |
9.23 |
4,100,000 |
|
4 |
0.98 |
27.00 |
101.04 |
05/22/09 |
B |
CHINA |
|
TSL |
ENERGY-SOLAR |
12.28 |
13.29 |
8.22 |
665,000 |
-25 |
113 |
1.90 |
20.00 |
62.87 |
06/06/09 |
B |
CHINA |
|
LDK |
ENERGY-SOLAR |
6.78 |
8.46 |
24.78 |
2,970,000 |
|
121 |
2.19 |
|
|
05/12/09 |
B |
CHINA |
|
UGA |
ETF GAS PRICE |
24.89 |
25.03 |
0.56 |
170,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
B |
|
|
BPSG |
FINANCE-BROKERAGE |
3.50 |
4.00 |
14.29 |
61,000 |
114 |
316 |
0.02 |
|
|
05/14/09 |
B |
|
|
CDII |
FINANCIAL CSLTG |
1.22 |
1.28 |
4.92 |
122,000 |
|
-27 |
0.67 |
|
|
05/07/09 |
B |
CHINA |
|
AEA |
FINANCIAL SERVICES |
2.17 |
3.78 |
74.19 |
203,000 |
-38 |
-5 |
|
|
|
04/23/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
RAX |
INTERNET |
8.38 |
8.98 |
7.16 |
377,000 |
200 |
34 |
0.24 |
|
|
07/25/09 |
B |
|
|
BIDU |
INTERNET |
182.59 |
203.45 |
11.42 |
2,400,000 |
58 |
69 |
7.38 |
220.00 |
20.49 |
04/24/09 |
B |
|
|
GOOG |
INTERNET |
359.37 |
388.74 |
8.17 |
5,402,000 |
15 |
18 |
24.10 |
600.00 |
66.96 |
04/17/09 |
B |
|
|
RGR |
LEISURE-GUNS |
11.40 |
11.48 |
0.70 |
302,000 |
400 |
72 |
0.75 |
20.00 |
75.44 |
04/22/09 |
B |
|
|
CLRT |
MEDICAL |
2.20 |
2.46 |
11.82 |
101,000 |
|
78 |
0.11 |
|
3.30 |
04/30/09 |
B |
CANCER |
|
DCTH |
MEDICAL PRODUCTS |
2.60 |
2.60 |
0.00 |
51,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
05/09/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
CPSI |
MEDICAL SOFTWARE |
33.91 |
34.49 |
1.71 |
255,000 |
25 |
14 |
1.82 |
50.00 |
47.45 |
04/25/09 |
B |
OBAMA STOCK |
|
CERN |
MEDICAL SOFTWARE |
42.07 |
46.78 |
11.20 |
1,600,000 |
25 |
18 |
2.82 |
60.00 |
42.62 |
04/22/09 |
B |
|
|
GMO |
METALS |
1.17 |
1.78 |
52.14 |
405,000 |
|
|
-0.18 |
|
|
05/07/09 |
B |
|
|
FNM |
MORTGAGE |
0.70 |
0.90 |
28.57 |
29,00,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
05/06/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
FRE |
MORTGAGE |
0.70 |
0.91 |
30.00 |
15,174,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
05/14/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
CSCO |
NETWORKING |
16.82 |
18.08 |
7.49 |
61,100,000 |
16 |
-8 |
1.19 |
25.00 |
48.63 |
05/06/09 |
B |
|
|
ATW |
OIL-GAS |
19.37 |
21.75 |
12.29 |
1,250,000 |
103 |
49 |
4.50 |
50.00 |
158.13 |
05/08/09 |
B |
|
|
CHK |
OIL-GAS |
19.49 |
20.94 |
7.44 |
17,200,000 |
-22 |
43 |
2.66 |
50.00 |
156.54 |
05/01/09 |
B |
|
|
SNP |
OIL-GAS |
70.66 |
74.09 |
4.85 |
680,000 |
11 |
22 |
9.71 |
150.00 |
112.28 |
04/28/09 |
B |
CHINA |
|
KOG |
OIL-GAS |
0.38 |
0.39 |
2.63 |
821,000 |
|
-48 |
-0.09 |
|
|
05/08/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
PXD |
OIL-GAS |
21.13 |
21.13 |
0.00 |
3,750,000 |
|
-11 |
0.70 |
|
|
05/07/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
HEAT |
POLLUTION CONTROL |
5.89 |
5.80 |
-1.53 |
14,000 |
999 |
586 |
0.52 |
10.00 |
69.78 |
|
B |
CHINA |
|
CROX |
RETAIL |
1.44 |
2.06 |
43.06 |
1,325,000 |
|
-44 |
-0.33 |
|
|
05/07/09 |
B |
CHART ONLY |
|
DIGA |
SECURITY |
1.00 |
0.94 |
-6.00 |
58,000 |
|
-28 |
|
|
|
05/07/09 |
B |
OBAMA STOCK |
|
TSEM |
SEMICONDUCTOR |
0.26 |
0.35 |
34.62 |
111,000 |
|
26 |
|
|
|
05/19/09 |
B |
CHART |
|
ATHR |
SEMICONDUCTOR |
16.39 |
17.93 |
9.40 |
2,070,000 |
-53 |
-14 |
0.71 |
21.00 |
28.13 |
04/28/09 |
B |
|
|
ENTR |
SEMICONDUCTOR |
1.32 |
1.48 |
12.12 |
121,000 |
|
-26 |
0.01 |
|
|
04/28/09 |
B |
HOME NETWORKING |
|
HIMX |
SEMICONDUCTOR |
2.52 |
2.89 |
14.68 |
346,000 |
-88 |
-53 |
0.30 |
9.00 |
257.14 |
04/29/09 |
B |
|
|
QUIK |
SEMICONDUCTOR |
1.83 |
1.78 |
-2.73 |
66,000 |
|
-45 |
0.02 |
|
|
04/24/09 |
B |
CHART |
|
SIMO |
SEMICONDUCTOR |
3.04 |
3.25 |
6.91 |
192,000 |
-77 |
-39 |
0.52 |
10.00 |
228.95 |
04/30/09 |
B |
TAIWAN |
|
SB |
SHIPPING |
3.26 |
4.00 |
22.70 |
112,000 |
-64 |
-17 |
2.25 |
10.00 |
206.75 |
04/28/09 |
B |
|
|
VMW |
SOFTWARE |
30.09 |
30.19 |
0.33 |
1,825,000 |
38 |
25 |
1.15 |
30.00 |
-0.30 |
04/22/09 |
B |
|
|
MVSN |
SOFTWARE SECURITY |
17.62 |
19.88 |
12.83 |
1,566,000 |
-69 |
182 |
1.67 |
30.00 |
70.26 |
05/07/09 |
B |
|
|
FIRE |
SOFTWARE-SECURITY |
9.90 |
9.90 |
0.00 |
102,000 |
30 |
33 |
0.18 |
|
|
05/01/09 |
B |
|
|
MTL |
STEEL |
5.38 |
6.61 |
22.86 |
4,300,000 |
148 |
95 |
1.01 |
10.00 |
85.87 |
05/29/09 |
B |
|
|
AKS |
STEEL |
8.24 |
11.54 |
40.05 |
8,800,000 |
|
-14 |
1.20 |
12.00 |
45.63 |
|